Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Super Tuesday

Today, the November election probably gets murkier as 24 states have primaries or caucuses to determine delegates for the next Presidential nominees for each party. It's important to understand delegates are up for grabs, not states like the general election. For instance, in California, if 60% of the people vote for Hillary and 40% of the people vote for Obama, then they split California's delegates 60/40, Hillary doesn't get the entirety of the delegates.
For the democrats, 2,025 total delegates are needed to secure a party's nomination. Entering today, Obama has 63 and Clinton has 48. For the Republican nomination, 1,191 delegates are needed; McCain has 93, Romney has 77, and Huckabee has 40.
I think not much will be settled on the Democrat side; Clinton & Obama will continue to be close in delegates all the way to the convention. I think McCain wins Super Tuesday, but Romney is so wealthy he can continue his campaign if he so chooses, unless McCain kicks his ass so badly that he is deemed totally irrelevant after today.
It is interesting that the hard-line right-wing media, such as Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, & Sean Hannity are railing vociferously against McCain, who is seen as more moderate and less partisan than most GOPers. Coulter went so far as saying if the general election were Clinton vs. McCain, she'd vote for Clinton.
I know I'll be watching Chris Matthews and Keith Olbermann on MSNBC tonight, November should get a little clearer.

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